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July 31, 2006

Patrick Michaels Controversy Roundup

It's amazing how much attention the Patrick Michaels story is ... and is not getting. On the on hand, Michaels was attacked last week by BC, Reuters, and AP for taking money from Intermountain Rural Electric Association and other industry groups. Each article casts itself as a "smoking gun" (the Reuters piece even uses this subheading) proving that climate change skeptics are on the take.

So far line on this has been that it's payola pundits like Michaels that have confused the public on the issue of global warming. ABC even lead off its story editorializing: "Ever wonder why so many people still seem confused about global warming? The answer appears to be that confusion leads to profit — especially if you're in some parts of the energy business."

Edward Colby, of Columbia Journalism Review writes that doubts like Michaels' "has led to lingering public confusion about global warming and its causes, despite unprecedented scientific consensus both that it is happening and that humans are contributing to it."

Colby also writes: "The story was full and fair, with Lewandowski, who was 'unapologetic about the contents of the document and for donating the money to Michaels,' given much space to defend himself." But in fact, it wasn't Lewandowski who is on trial but rather Michaels. The effort is a bit of guilt by association, why else would we care about the misdeeds of a small co-op in CO.The fact that very little space was given to defending Michaels was a bit disturbing and the fact that the Columbia Journalism Review ignores this and fails to criticize ABC for implying that Michaels is the cause for confusion over climate change rather than his research (which no one has questioned).

Another blog hammers home the point writing that this is a "conlict-of-interest problem." Except a spokesman for the University of Virginia doesn't think so. According to a Richmond Times-Dispatch report (a truly fair piece) university professors are allowed 52 days a year for outside consulting work. Moreover, they have no issue with Michaels doing this work on a controversial issue:

Zieman [chairman of UVA's Environmental Science Department] said Michaels is well-respected as a scientist. "He publishes in these peer review journals, and he's doing good work and it's accepted by the scientific community," he said.

Zieman also said academic freedom is important, no matter how unpopular a scientist's findings. "We found out in Iraq that freedom is messy. So can academic freedom be messy. Persons do have the right to have a minority opinion."

Scientists should be criticized when they're caught "manipulating facts or producing spurious data,'' Zieman said.

Indeed, no one has yet to claim he has done so.

What makes all of this worth more attention is that it demonstrates there is a concerted efforts to use "conflict of interest" as a way of discrediting dissident voices. The proof one needs is only the fact that Michaels has taken “industry” money has been widely know for some time. If one peruses the web you quickly stumble across ExxonSecrets, which has apparently known for some time that Michaels received funds from corporate interests. So why is this news now? Well as the debate over warming heats up, Michaels' research becomes increasingly problematic for alarmists.

Now to the issue at stake here, that anyone receiving payment for their expertise necessarily has a conflict of interest, it is troublesome that this logic has been taken so seriously. If one were to apply it consistently, we could find any number of reasons to reject ANY testimony. This is why we actually examine "issues" and not just the people who advocate for them.

Heartland has written a number of letters defending Michaels which we will be posting on this blog over the next few days. So ... stay tuned.

Sean Parnell in the New York Times

You'll have to scroll to the bottom but Heartland VP, Sean Parnell, made the New York Times this weekend.

Price of Smart Growth: The Future

New Zealand’s virtually national embrace of so-called “smart growth” policies has driven home ownership sharply downward. A New Zealand Press Association report cites an A. C. Nielson Commercial Finance Monitor report that found home ownership declined six percentage points in a single year.

“Smart growth” policies have led to unprecedented housing cost escalation in New Zealand, as large swaths of land have been made off-limits to development. The Second Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey shows the three largest urban areas, Auckland, Christchurch and Wellington to have median multiples (median house price divided by median household income) of over 5.0. These urban areas are now classified as “severely unaffordable.” Historical median multiples have been at 3.0 or less.

The smart growth-induced decline in home ownership is an ominous sign. Home equity is a principal source of middle-income wealth creation. As the share of home owners declines, it can be expected that economic growth will suffer.

July 29, 2006

The NFL is the government ... or vice versa

Blurring the lines between government and private actors leads to this kind of mish mash in which "High school civics teacher Gordon Johnson sued the Tampa Sports Authority to stop officials from conducting the "suspicionless" searches." If the government would get out of the business of running stadia this wouldn't be an issue at all. How many years have 'enlightened' private promoters been searching event goers for alcohol and the like (I put mine in plastic soda bottles, works every time) in a moderately invasive manner?

The idea that a football game is a public accomodation and not a private contract between the presenter and an audience member is the absurdity here. Of course fears can be overplayed. But this doesn't seem to be an arena where civil liberties are being seriously transgressed.

Those who see the course of America like that of Rome will no doubt imagine that these gladiatorial contests are presented to keep the minds of the peasants off the real matters at hand. It has certainly worked if the public thinks the problem is searches at stadia instead of taxpayer financing of them.

July 28, 2006

Nanny-State Knows Bounds

No more smoking ... in your own vehicle.

What is it about skepticism you don't understand?

Harold Henderson asks "Who are you and what have you done with The Heartland Institute" in a post complaining about Heartland's position on global warming. He writes:

It gives the impression that libertarianism really is a right-wing philosophy, lined up with anti-science Republicans who think evolution is some kind of dubious hypothesis. What possible reward could be great enough for intelligent people to seek such company?

Harold doesn't see how a skeptical position on something like global warming follows from libertarian premises. My answer:

First, any good libertarian is going to skeptical of any argument that calls for, or implies a need for restrictions on liberty. Why, because libertarianism presupposes that indiviual people acting freely can solve problems better than any centralized government. Global warming for the most part is a POLITICAL argument that the government must "act now" to solve a looming, yet still invisible environmental catastrophe.

It isn't a stretch to say that many libertarians (myself included) would prefer to take their chance at dealing with the consequences of warming as it happens rather then authorize the government to enact "preemptive" policies that abridge our freedom. I would bet Harold and many of his reader would in fact agree with this is strategy with regard to the war on terror. But for some reason when it comes to global warming reverse course.

Second, the politics of global warming are particularly frightening. In some corner of academia they're still debating the law of gravity, the theory of relativity, and the shape of the universe. And yet we're supposed to swallow the notion that the climate change debate is "over." I apologize for my stubborness Harold, but no debate is ever "over" and saying as much is generally a tell-tell sign that you don't value debate very much and are instead concerned with action, particular controlling the actions of other.

Third, as for the science, I must admit I'm not a scientist. But I am very disturbed by the number of people (non-scientists) who appear to be so certain about the "facts." I myself have tried a few times to read some of the science and find it very arcane and inpenetrable. If I'm ever fully convinced by any of it, that's probably a better sign that I don't understand it.

Finally, Harold misrepresents Heartland's position when he says we are "claiming there's no such thing as climate change." This would be absurd. Climate change is the only constant in the climate, which is precisely our point. This raises one of the unfortunate facts about global warming, that it's both a scientific and a political debate and we're all guilty of not being clear enough about which debate we're having.

Heartland advocates common-sense environmentalism, the tenants of which are:

* While some environmental problems are legitimate, most are exaggerated by environmental groups to raise money and build support for more government power. Sound science, not scare tactics, ought to set the agenda for environmental protection.

* The best way to protect the environment is to work with, rather than against, free markets.

* Markets solve the problem of scarcity by creating abundance; markets create the wealth that makes investments in health and wilderness preservation possible; and when pollution is correctly defined as trespass, markets can discover and implement the least-cost solutions.

* Government, too, has a role to play in protecting the environment, but it has played its role poorly in the past. We need regulatory reform to ensure that governments, when involved, operate efficiently and respect the rights of the parties involved.

Harold writes "there are ways of dealing with climate change that will enhance government power, and ways that will harness the power of the market to improve matters." Here, here! We agree. Let's get some coffee sometime.

Winnipeg Toys with Planning Disaster

In a Winnipeg Free Press commentary today, I argue that the city of Winnipeg’s slow development approval processes have the potential to do as much damage to housing affordability as radical smart growth policies. Our Demographia Second Annual International Housing Affordability Survey had ranked Winnipeg as one of the most affordable housing markets out of 100 in six nations in 2005. The bottlenecks now occurring at Winnipeg city hall could, if not corrected, destroy housing affordability just as surely as the anti-suburban policies that have been adopted in places like Vancouver, BC, Sydney, Australia and Portland, Oregon.

China: Best Defense Against Speculation is the Market

An article in today’s People’s Daily,, the official newspapers of China, expresses concern about housing cost increases that can occur from foreign speculation. The following letter to the editor has been sent.

To the People’s Daily:

China is right to be concerned about speculation in real estate. Home ownership has spurred widespread prosperity in western nations, allowing middle-income people to build up substantial equity. This has occurred because of generally liberal land markets. Housing construction has been permitted on inexpensive suburban land. Some markets, such as Portland, Oregon, Sydney and elsewhere, have significant restrictions on new housing that have driven prices up.

A liberal development market is the best defense against speculation, foreign or domestic. Speculation is driven by scarcity and there is no scarcity of land for urban development in China (or in Portland or Sydney). Continued development of the housing market is just as important in China as it has been in the West.

Wendell Cox
Principal, Demographia
Co-author, 2nd Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey
http://www.demographia.com/dhi-ix2005q3.pdf

July 27, 2006

Fish story

Mike's pointer to the Althouse blog dissecting Stanley Fish writing on indoctrination and academic freedom offered me a freeby to post my own take on Fish's discussions of academic freedom during years as a contributor to The Chronicle of Higher Education. This essay has been rattling around in my computer with nowhere to go for a year and a half. (Warning: it is long and better printed out and placed on the back of the WC than taken as a blog post)

It was inspired by an exchange between Fish and David Horowitz, but draws on the range of Fish's work for the Chronicle. There are probably numerous links I ought to add to this essay but Horowitz is easily found. I will offer this link for the most notable other character, James Panero, who is the editor of the New Criterion and a bit of the hero of this essay. His work is well worth a click -- and despite the fact that much of the New Criterion content is no longer free, I'd much rather see hard earned dollars going in that direction than to the apologist for the status quo Chronicle of Higher Education.

Stanley Fish: The Edge of Reason

Stanley Fish has the decidedly frumpy notion that the pursuit of truth is the central purpose of the university. He has the further stodgy understanding that "the serious embrace of that purpose precludes deciding what the truth is in advance, or ruling out certain accounts of the truth before they have been given a hearing, or making evaluations of those accounts turn on the known or suspected political affiliations of those who present them."

Like spinster come debutante Bridget Jones, his efforts to advance these principles hang precariously upon the edge of reason – and like his cinematic counterpart he wishes to have it both ways. There are, in his view, some exercises of citizenship that are moral necessities transcending this search for truth. While berating the loose citation of the first amendment in the campus culture wars, he awards a constitutional commendation to a college basketball player who turned her back on the American flag. How is this political expression anymore a first amendment exercise than the publication of controversial opinions in student newspapers?

Fish is clear that editors who make such decisions should refrain from reference to the first amendment and simply bear the consequences because they don’t have a duty to publish controversial material. Does not the same apply to his queen of the court? Is it not possible that many present at the basketball game did not agree with some American policies, but they do not have a duty to turn their back on the flag.

Fish pooh-poohs the opposition to free speech zones on campus suggesting it is a quaint manifestation of the eternal ideological grudge match over the truth:

"Some activists on both the left and the right protest such zones and argue that the entire university should be a free-speech zone, one large Hyde Park corner, for after all isn't the university primarily a place for the unfettered expression of ideas? The answer is no. The university is primarily a place for teaching and research."

Why then would it be inappropriate to confine the political expression of this women with the ‘Basketball Jones’ for dissing American policies to a free speech zone? Perhaps, because Fish sees himself as expressing a truth here while the right and the left are chasing fictions in objecting to the cabining of campus expression.

The editors of the Brown Daily Herald who accepted an advertisement objecting to reparations for slavery from David Horowitz thus turning loose the demagogues of Brown’s ‘Third World Center’ to steal an issue of the newspaper are, in Fish’s world, only reaping what they sow -- not defending the first amendment. At the risk of falling into the Fish trap, this is true insofar as it goes. But in choosing to publish the ad the editors are defending free expression and the pursuit of truth, a far greater contribution to the mission of the University than some basketball player who mistakenly believes that the respectful silence and largely uniform attention to the flag during the playing of the national anthem may be read as an endorsement by all participants of any or all the polices of this nation.

Fish all but concedes a leftist hegemony on campus expression but views Horowitz’s antidote, a call for intellectual diversity, as some kind of slippery slope toward affirmative action for conservatives – as if this slippery slope should worry the academy when it has already driven headlong off the cliff of political correctness. But Fish has an answer for this too, to dismiss PC as a clever PR campaign of the right. The real job of complaining conservatives is to study poetry if they want to become humanities professors.

This is a nice theory but it can’t help but recall the elucidating and entertaining prose of James Panero who left Brown without taking the graduate degree in art history (or was it Spanish dwarfism) towards which he long labored because the school itself labors under just the type of bias that Fish imagines, quite vividly I think, can be fixed by conservative scholarship. Panero’s retreat from academia, like that of many who contend with its ascendant progressive orthodoxy, was precipitated not simply by finding himself the skunk at the faculty garden party, but finding the institution itself closed to alternative perspective.

Fish ought to well recognize the very phenomenon he agitates against at the same moment claiming it a figment of fertile imaginations. Indeed Panero could have been quoting Fish on the failure of the modern academy to live up to its foundational principles:

"at a progressive school like [Brown], where all the important truths of life have been agreed upon beforehand and heaven is fast on its way to earth, no one wants to hear a peep. … If [Brown] had had an administration building with pillars it could have carved over the pillars: Ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you feel guilty"

Of course Panero saying it is so is not the truth revealed. But does not the possibility that it is so -- as reported consistently by many observers -- suggest that the search for truth is imperiled. Fish’s dismissive attitude toward intellectual diversity reveals that his risk analysis is upside down: he would see his own announced central purpose for the university undermined in order to save it from some imagined future conspiracy.

Fish cannot be so obtuse as to believe that the intellectual diversity movement is anything but a demand for toleration – i.e., "a proposal that precludes deciding what the truth is in advance, or ruling out certain accounts of the truth before they have been given a hearing, or making evaluations of those accounts turn on the known or suspected political affiliations of those who present them." By Fish’s very own definition there are serial allegations that academia is eroding the very legitimacy of liberal education. But he is busy worrying that some polemics with less finesse than Horowitz – no trifling measure – will push valid ideas a little too far? And as an alternative, Fish offers a challenge to conservatives to fertilize their own academic fields. That is the kind of Catch 22 that makes Yossarian’s paradoxical predicament seem the simplest of riddles.

That the toleration of conservative ideas on campus does not seem of any importance to Fish -- indeed seems a plot of some sort -- perhaps implies Fish’s own ironic belief that conservatives are the ones who aren’t willing to subject their beliefs to rational inquiry in the marketplace of ideas. It is, after all, on this basis that Fish’s dismissive notions regarding religious thought are formed. Religious ideas have no place in academia (other than to be studied as sociological oddities) because they derive from beliefs which may not be tested rationally. Certainly this is not an entirely illogical critique of religion as an intellectual template in the age of reason. But it does not hold that simply because a certain moral outlook is adopted as an article of faith that the faithful are precluded from making logical arguments in support of such a code giving it rational as well as spiritual underpinnings.

Much as Fish trusts Horowitz’s motives – enough to have consulted for him in the writing of the ‘Academic Bill of Rights’ – I doubt that Fish himself has any worries whatsoever regarding an innate capacity to hold his own in a potentially less secular more intellectually diverse academic environment. Stanley Fish is a laudable curmudgeon imbued with common sense and eclectic beliefs that belie lumping him in with progressive advocates masquerading as academics. Indeed his endearing story of rejecting union membership at Berkeley 35 years ago indicates he is no Stanley-come-lately to iconoclasm:

"They [told me] the union would (1) work to change America's foreign policy by fighting militarism, (2) demand that automobiles be banned from the campus and that parking structures be torn down, and (3) speak out strongly in favor of student rights. In response I said (1) that if I were interested in influencing government policy I would vote for certain candidates and contribute to their campaigns, (2) that I loved automobiles and wanted even more places to park mine, and (3) that I didn't see the point of paying dues to an organization dedicated to the interests of a group of which I was not a member."

But just as one gets to thinking the enlightenment – emeritus style – has finally returned to at least one campus, self-contradictions arise. One can’t help but get the sense that Fish believes the bulk of his progressive colleagues would find themselves at a marked disadvantage if they were to release their death grip upon the American institution. He can’t possibly imagine that some major role reversal is in the offing, but perhaps he fears the O’Reilly factor: that the few conservatives and classic liberals that make their way onto faculties will quickly attain outsized star power and influence as the only act on the block. But this of course has its natural check in the too-big-for-one’s-britches factor which now dogs O’Reilly himself, who is busy trying to litigate his progressive competitors off the public stage – not only to no avail but to the diminishment of his own stature.

Indeed virtually any phenomenon that one could associate with a more intellectually diverse institution has a natural check. It is the very marketplace that Fish recognizes is the context for academia. I refer less to the silly web-of-academic-life analysis which suggests that these institutions could not exist without the forbearance of market institutions, but rather the emerging understanding of education as a market good. Ironically, much as Horowitz has co-opted the language of toleration and affirmative action from the racial diversity movement to serve as the template for his push for intellectual diversity, the leftists who imbue the vast majority of campuses with an anti-capitalist ‘naissez-faire’ perspective propose that the market has spoken insofar as academic bias with students flocking to their academic altars regardless, or perhaps in support, of this phenomenon.

Market forces are working in new ways on public campuses as well. Fish’s participation in efforts at the University of Illinois at Chicago to capture highly respected (if oft ideologically redundant) faculty to raise the perception of state schools as competitive with elite private institutions has raised the eyebrows of legislative benefactors. The trade off which Fish all but invites and has certainly been evidenced elsewhere is less public money for more institutional independence – "trade dollars for autonomy", Fish suggests (albeit various grants and loans channeled through individuals amount to a large public subsidy for higher education, these may at least be directed to both private and public colleges).

Indeed this trend has some libertarians, such as myself, recognizing that the University of Michigan was making essentially a private decision regarding its affirmative action admission policies rather than dispensing government resources based on race. If this affection for diversity has less than the salutary academic effect predicted by the hordes of administrators and CEOs who defended it before the U.S. Supreme Court, the reputation of the school and its relative attractiveness in the educational marketplace will suffer.

Fish seems oddly silent on the proposal that diversity, at least as measured by the politically correct indecies of race, gender, sexual preference and the like, is a benefit to the mission of the university. Given that Fish is explicit that intellectual diversity is not a requirement of the search for the truth, it is surprising he has not so vigorously expressed the same skepticism with regard to the purportedly surrogate measures which are popular with progressives.

Horowitz has a keen grasp of the commitment of universities to diversity and seeks to embarrass institutions into a return to the intellectual diversity at the root of a liberal education rather than to command it. But this embarrassment must take place by exercising the very mechanism just discussed – effecting the market regulation of schools by affecting public perception. This means that, of necessity, a great deal of the debate takes place outside the University in the social, political, and cultural milieu that are the feeder system for perspective students and perhaps more importantly the feedback system for alumni who are the fiscal lifeblood and equally, perhaps supremely, important market indicators of a University’s success.

There is little question, as this discussion permeates the polity, that the inevitable governmental mechanisms proposed for implementing intellectual toleration are predominately blunt instruments oft employed in reactionary fashion. This is true of governmental mechanisms for accomplishing virtually anything and a reason that some of us seek less governmental intrusion across the board. It is ironic, however, that the institutions that have become more an advocacy core for the politicization of the latest secular humanist social science than a stable of truth seekers should fear the privations regularly visited on any regulated endeavor by overzealous politicians.

I can only add to the fears which Stanley Fish harbors by adding the State of Rhode Island, in that liberal bastion of New England which is become a sea of political blue in partisan maps, to the list of states having considered legal compulsions to increase intellectual toleration at its institutions of higher learning. As is typical, the call to arms came when a conservative took Fish’s advice and attempted to work within the system to become credentialed to change it.

Bill Felkner, a masters candidate in Social Work at Rhode Island College, became suspicious that he was enrolled in a program of indoctrination and advocacy when professors of social work at the school began showing the Michael Moore anti-Bush polemic Fahrenheit 911 in class as well as promoting attendance at extra-curricular screenings in the fall before the 2004 Presidential election. Felkner’s response to this bald advocacy masquerading as social work education was modest enough, he proposed an open showing of the responsive Fahren-hype 911. Not only was this suggestion dismissively rejected by the faculty at the school, but they openly questioned the fitness of anyone with conservative ideas to study or perform social work – a tactic similar to that of progressive intellectuals who seek to label conservatives as racist by definition and thus marginalize their ability to participate in discussions of race-based policies.

This extremely politicized maneuvering within the college faculty caused Felkner to reexamine portions of the curriculum which seemed at least to have more substantive relation with social work than Michael Moore’s campaign tripe. One troubling facet of his coming semester’s work was a course that required Felkner to lobby the state legislature for the social services policy proposals favored by the School of Social Work. Thus did Rhode Island College explicitly mimic the progressive bent which Panero implied forestalled his studies at Brown. "You shall know the truth, and it shall make you guilty".

Substantively, this required Felkner to approach legislators with the goal of convincing them to extend eligibility for state sponsored education beyond an individual’s first two years on welfare. Felkner was required to research the issue and make arguments in support of this change. His research, perhaps incentivized by the intellectual gerrymandering he had already experienced and by the realization that he had not been asked to search for the truth but rather to manufacture arguments in support of a truth his professors proclaimed as already established, lead him to exactly the opposite conclusion. He can now cite reams of data that suggest work experience coordinated with brief particularized training far outperforms RI's no twenty-something-left-behind idea that every unwed mother should go to junior college.

This silly idealist has the nerve to expect a masters program in social work to live up to the profession's own standard of respecting the opinions of peers regardless of their political ideology (National Association of Social Workers (NASW) Code of Ethics 2.01). But his professors who are now threatening to fail him and effectively expel him from the program because he will not lobby for their policy preferences helped write the Code of Ethics for the NASW. Does anyone really expect the NASW to eat its own in order to protect the intellectual freedom of some moderately conservative thinker. Not bloody likely. And where one wonders is Stanley Fish, the champion of the backturning basketballer, citing West Virginia v. Barnette? He is too busy parsing intellectual diversity from the pursuit for truth to recognize that that pursuit ended long ago on most campuses.

This is not about a mandate that Universities should foster some kind of parity of adoption for various ideas amongst either their faculty or student bodies, but rather about the very admission of these ideas to academic discourse whatsoever. The refusal of university after university to recognize when the institution is chilling the search for truth in favor of the idea that its renown educators have already found it, while the few rational voices amongst the radicals have taken to imagining conservative conspiracies, indicate that there seems little hope for reform other than from without the university. This reform will come from the folks who pay the bills. If that worries the folks who cash the checks, maybe they ought to do something which they conceive as responsive but more intellectually defensible, than the clumsy rubrics they imagine will rain from the Republican sky.

Stanley Fish is ahead of the curve in recognizing some of the failings of the modern university but is too far ahead of the curve in thinking that the corrections will be overdone when they have not even begun yet.

Brian Bishop is a member of the board of advisors of the Foundation for Intellectual Diversity.


A needed law? Well, it's better than a fat tax...

A perfect storm of vocational and avocational challenges have kept my 'pen' quiet on this summer's blog but, despite the lack of a humor category at fromtheheartland.org, I couldn't resist a pointer to what might be the exception, i.e. a justified law, that proves the rule about how unnecessary the rest are.

In Bromley UK, citing the loss of the latter day 'battle of the bulge' a Tory councillor is proposing to ban men from going shirtless in the center city shopping district.

I concede to regularly violating the prohibitions of the proposed ordinance, but even I can see that this is one of those arenas where politeness has not kept up with the post- modern physique. If we have to have laws, this is one I might be able to stomach.

I await an avalanche of comments to the contrary. I'm sure there is a private market solution to this problem. That will be more entertaining than offers for ringtones which I must regularly stricken from these roles.

July 26, 2006

The BIG Consequences of Big Box Ordinances

Eric Zorn completely missed the point in his recent column on Chicago's big box ordinance, which is due for a vote any minute:

They are warning that if the City Council passes and Mayor Richard Daley signs a new wage and benefits law requiring stores larger than 90,000 square feet to pay their employees at least $10 an hour and $3 in benefits by July 2010, retail giants such as Target and Wal-Mart will flee the city, particularly the underdeveloped communities they are considering.

Jobs and shoppers will head to the suburbs, according to a talking-points memo from the Illinois Retail Merchants Association, costing the city tens of millions of dollars a year in property and sales tax revenue, and denying our poorest and least mobile residents easy access to employment and bargains.

Perversely, they warn, a proposal to help the less advantaged will end up harming them as well, along with the big bad merchandisers who supposedly exploit them.

But that's not what they're really afraid of.

What they're really afraid of is that their dire predictions won't come true.

They're afraid that the ordinance will pass as expected Wednesday, possibly by a veto-proof two-thirds majority of the aldermen, go into effect later this year and prove popular and generally beneficial.

Big stores will not close. In fact, new big-box behemoths will open in hard-luck neighborhoods. These stores will make money for their owners and provide a decent buck to their employees. Employment rates and municipal tax receipts will rise.


In a broad sense, Zorn is right. Target is not going to immediately pack up and leave over the "big box" ordinance. And yes, shareholders will still make money and the impact on the unemployment rate may be hard to see. But what Zorn misses is that all of economics is what happens at the margins. The big box ordinance does not make a particular store UNprofitable. What it does do is make the store less profitable than other stores. But why should we care that a store is more or less profitable? Because at the coporate level recources are constantly shifted to MAXIMIZE profit (that is after why corporations are in business.) ANY law that decreases a store's profitability relative to other stores in the same system also puts that store a disadvantage in the internal competition for resources so that, down the road, if money gets tight and a budget (or a whole store) has to be cut the store "protected" by bix box laws will likily be the first to go.

Moreover, the important point is not that "living wage" laws will immediately worsen the economy, but that it will restrict growth and deprive people of jobs that would have been created.

Again, the effects will be marginal, but what Zorn in his do-gooder righteousness has to keep in mind is that there are people that live on the margins, and they're the ones that get hurt.

July 24, 2006

The Meaning of Academic Freedom

A great discussion here.

July 23, 2006

In Toronto TTC Means “Take the Car”

Globe and Mail columnist Margaret Wente suggests that “TTC” --- the initials of the Toronto Transit Commission --- really means “take the car.” In a July 22 column, she notes that ridership has fallen substantially and that it takes longer to travel by transit than car. Moreover, she sees through the usual “we ought to be like Paris” blather, noting that most people in Paris live in the suburbs and get around by car.

She concludes the column with a particularly effective paragraph:

Suburban Newspaper Votes Against Light Rail in St. Louis

The Belleville News-Democrat the largest suburban daily newspaper in the St. Louis area has severely criticized the local Bistate transit system for its failures arising from the recent strorms. In particular, the paper cites the poor planning for bus replacement service for the light rail system that was knocked out of operation by storm related power losses. (Urban rail systems have proven to be particularly unreliable in natural disasters, see Washington Metro at the Trough).

Noting a planned fare increase, the News-Democrat concludes If we expect people to rely on public transportation rather than private cars, fares have to be reasonable and service has to be good. Every additional fare increase, and every fiasco like the one Wednesday, give people more reasons to just keep driving, even at $3 a gallon.

July 21, 2006

Saviors Don't Debate

Global warming crusader Jim Hansen apparently backed out of a House committee hearing on global warming yesterday. Hansen, it seems, took issue with the inclusion of John Cristy, director of the Earth System Science Center at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, who according to E&E News "told lawmakers that scientists 'cannot reliably project the trajectory of the climate' for large regions of the United States." Hansen attacked Congress as "still in denial, inviting contrarians to 'balance' the science of global warming."

So when Al Gore and Jim Hansen claim the "debate is over," they apparently mean only that they're tired of debating those who don't agree with them.

Microsoft’s European Inquisition

Sonia Arrison, director of technology studies at the Pacific Research Institute brings some context to the European Commission’s recent fine of $356 million against Microsoft for not complying with the EC demand that it make certain technology information available to its competitors as part of a 2004 antitrust ruling.

Never mind that the deadline for compliance hasn’t passed. European regulators, Arrison notes, just want to warp things up before they go on vacation. No telling how many Eurocrats used Microsoft’s offending products to book their travel. Technology may change, but in Europe, August still means everyone goes on holiday.

But I risk making light of an all-too-serious situation. Microsoft’s current penalty, coming on top of another $630.7 million fine over the bundling of Windows Media Player, represents one of the worst examples of judgment through venue shopping. To be sure, Microsoft has come under fire for using delay tactics and other forms of resistance in the wake of the ruling. The legal ramifications of digging in against an EC ruling have yet to play out, but on some level, you can’t blame Microsoft for its intransigence. The complaint was spearheaded by U.S. competitors in a European jurisdiction. Yes, we operate in a global economy, but that wasn’t the reason behind the choice of the EC. Sun and Novell went to Europe because their complaint has no traction in U.S. antitrust courts.

In “Kangaroo Court in Brussels,” Arrison provides a succinct review:

“In 2000, Microsoft figured out how to create a distributed computing cluster that would work incredibly well with thousands of computers, a major breakthrough in computing technology. Other vendors have not been able to replicate this success.

“For instance, Sun Microsystems can only offer a similar solution using four computers and Novell can only do it with 150. It's not hard to understand how Microsoft's competitors would like to be able to view and copy Microsoft's patented invention, as they have failed to find the secrets through reverse engineering. With their ruling, EC regulators offered up the secrets on a silver platter.”

The EC pulled this off by twisting the definition of interoperability to mean interchangeability. For the products in question, Microsoft, Sun and Novell were all building to the same standard. The respective equipment had no problem connecting and sharing instructions. Nonetheless, Sun and Novell argued that Microsoft was competing unfairly because buyers couldn’t outright substitute a Sun or Novell server cluster for a Microsoft cluster and gain the same scale. The EC agreed and ordered Microsoft to provide the necessary Windows source code.

Let’s think about this reasoning behind this decision for a minute, using an example consumers might be more familiar with.

All HDTV television monitors are interoperable with other equipment bearing the HDTV logo—HD-DVD players, DVDs, tuners and DVRs. A Sony HDTV DVD player will play HDTV discs on a Panasonic HDTV monitor. The HDTV standard defines how HDTV signals are exchanged between devices.

Now suppose Sony used special proprietary technology that creates a measurably better viewing experience for purchasers who use Sony HDTV monitors with Sony HDTV DVD players. You could still use a Panasonic monitor with a Sony DVD player and get the same sharp resolution you expect with HD. It's just that with the Sony monitor, good HDTV becomes better.

The EC would say Sony was competing unfairly, because buyers could no longer substitute a Panasonic or other brand of HDTV monitor and have exact same HDTV experience they would with a Sony. As a remedy, the EC would require Sony to share its enhanced picture technology with Panasonic and everyone else. The EC, in essence, would be punishing Sony for offering a better-than-baseline product.

That’s exactly the EC’s doing with Microsoft. No one’s claiming that the Microsoft clusters don’t work with Sun’s and Novell’s. No one’s claiming that Microsoft (as it’s been accused of in the past) is trying to hijack the standard to subvert its functionality. The EC simply is fining Microsoft for marketing a product that performs better within the confines of the standard. That’s why this case would have made no headway in the U.S., where courts have resisted the extension of interoperability to include interchangeability or “cloning.” One example came in State of New York et al v. Microsoft and it was affirmed on appeal.

Although Microsoft has appealed the EC decision to the European Court of First Instance, and continues to resist supplying some technical documentation, it did offer to provide rivals access to portions of the Windows source code. Here’s where things got even more screwy, and highlighted the flaws in the EC’s decision.

You would have thought that having wrestled open portions of the Windows source code would have been seen as a victory. Instead Microsoft, was roundly criticized by the open source community as setting out a “poisoned honey pot.”

Groups such as the Free Software Foundation Europe, a party to the European antitrust suit, advised their members not to go near it, even though the source code was being released as part of a settlement in a case they helped bring. The reason—there were still concerns that if they used the code, they would vulnerable to later allegations from Microsoft of theft of patented intellectual property.

Microsoft has always claimed that the EU is forcing them to give away proprietary information. It’s just plain hinky, after two years of legal disagreement, their committed foes agree. Thus the plaintiffs are seeing some of the downside of venue shopping. You might find one group of regulators to agree with your grievance, but later find that the proposed remedy goes against years of juris prudence on both sides of the Atlantic.

July 20, 2006

Vulnerable Urban Rail System Shuts Down: Chapter 2

Bus service routinely substitutes for rail service cancelled by severe weather. The latest case is in St. Louis.

The St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports that the local light rail system (Metrolink) shut down due to a severe storm in the area on July 19. Another article in the same edition notes that “long string of buses” were deployed at Busch Stadium to carry people who could not return to their homes (or cars) by light rail. This is, of course, at odds with the claims of transit funding advocates to the effect that urban rail systems are crucial during emergencies.

This echoes the experience in the Washington, DC are during June rain storms (Chapter 1). The Virginia Railway Express commuter rail system shut down for days. The Metro (subway) system had service interruptions and buses were used to ferry people between Metro stations where service had been cancelled.

All of this points out the special vulnerability of rail systems during emergencies.

When is the last time emergency rail service replaced cancelled bus service?

Chinese Lesson for Western Economists: Progress, Not Equality is the Issue

Income inequality has been rising in China, prompting some to suggest that the nation’s market oriented policies must be curbed. The official government newspaper The People’s Daily disagrees as is indicated in a July 20 article, The limitation of the Gini Coefficient in China. The “Gini Coefficient” is widely used in international economics to measure income inequality in nations. Economist Wei Jie, Director of the National Center for Economic Research at Tsinghua University notes that the gini coefficient tends to indicate higher levels of inequality in nations that have not completed the urbanization process. In China, large income differences are to be expected because so much of the population (60 percent) lives in lower income rural areas. In first world economies, generally 30 percent or less of people live in rural areas. Further, Wei Jie points out that income inequality as measured by the Gini coefficient may worsen at the same time that incomes at the lowest levels are increasing --- at the same time as the poor are getting richer! Professor Wei Jie offers a valuable lesson for western and international economics.

These are important points and the latter is especially relevant to discussions in the western world where the conventional “politics of envy” based discussion of income equality leads to the untenable conclusion that it would be better for all to be poorer than for some to be richer. This is evident in the frequently cited claim that the “rich keep getting richer” and the “poor keep getting poorer.” That is at least one-half true. The rich have become richer. However, the poor are also getting richer. From 1971 to 2001, US Census Bureau data indicates that the average income of least affluent quintile (20 percent) of US households rose 26 percent (inflation adjusted).

Progress has been so substantial that a report by the Swedish Research Institute of Trade found US African-American median incomes to the overall Swedish median (average Swedish income is at approximately the same the Western European average).

It is thus true that the more affluent have gained more than the less affluent. However, the principal point is that all, including the poor, have gained. There is often a tendency to think of poverty in relative terms, such as the income of the lowest-income quintile compared to the highest. However, this is a mistake. If, for example, poverty is defined as having an income in the bottom 10 percent, the poverty can never be eradicated. Relative poverty indicators are as inappropriate as they are rooted in envy. What is important is not how much low-income households have in relation to rich households; it is whether they have enough to live a comfortable life.

Thus for example, the United States defines poverty in terms of a standard of living, not in terms of envy. It would, of course, be desirable for all households to prosper to the same extent as the most affluent. However, despite considerable attempts under socialist, mixed and free market economies, income equality has not been achieved.

No economic system has yet been identified that can substantially reduce income inequality without reducing even more the income of the lowest income households. That is why policies that improve the absolute incomes of low-income households are preferable to envy based relative measures. Joseph Schumpeter expressed the purpose of a free market economic system with respect to income distribution:

    The capitalist achievement does not typically consist in providing more silk stockings for queens, but in bringing them within the reach of factory girls in return for steadily decreasing amounts of effort
High-income nations have different policies that seek to improve incomes among the least affluent. Western European nations tend to have larger social welfare systems and higher rates of long-term unemployment, which they accept in return for less economic growth and affluence. In the United States, the policy priority is employment and economic growth. Most people live well both in Western Europe and the United States. Further, low-income households in the United States and Western Europe live better than average households in most middle-income and virtually all low-income nations. The most reliable road to greater affluence for all, including low-income households, is strong economic growth.

Moreover, Harvard’s Benjamin Friedman suggests in a recent book that economic growth is more than desirable, but also necessary for longer term social cohesion.

International and western economic analysis would do well to end its unhealthy affection for the politics of envy.

July 19, 2006

Judge Jim Gray: Why Our Drug Laws Have Failed

Judge Gray spoke to at the Millenium Knickerbocker Hotel on Friday, July 14 2006. He also signed copies of his book "Why our drug laws have failed and what we can do about it."

Smart Growth I Can Support

The St. Louis Post-Dispatch (July 19, 2006) carried an advertisement by Missourians for Smart Growth endorsing Joe Brazil, a candidate for the Missouri Senate. An examination of the website indicates that the organization equates “smart growth” with opposing eminent domain, which is laudable. Moreover, it is encouraging that Missourians for Smart Growth does not appear to endorse so-called smart growth strategies (such as urban growth boundaries) that have destroyed housing affordability in many urban areas of the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia and New Zealand and have virtually stolen the future from many younger households who will be relegated to renting for the rest of their lives. Nor is there any reference to the anti-mobility strategies that would stop roadway construction, seek to heard people onto mass transit services that don’t go where they need to go and drive business expansion to other urban areas. If our reading is correct, this is smart growth worth supporting.

Public School Ironies

It is interesting to note that while Illinois' public school system is piloting a program that would give every student a wireless laptop, colleges and universities are trying to banish them from the classroom. Perhaps these two should talk.

Time Lost in Transit: Drag on Canadian Economy

It’s time to stop pretending about transit. That is the message of the new Statistics Canada data that shows the average transit commuter spends three hours more time weekly traveling between home and work than the average automobile driver or rider. The complete story is outlined in my National Post oped Travel Times Prove Transit a Non-Starter. The National Post is Canada’s second largest national newspaper.

July 18, 2006

The Imperative for Improved Infrastructure

The imperative for improving the nation's freight infrastrucutre was stressed by UPS Chairman and CEO Michael Eskew in a recent address to the Philadelphia World Affairs Council. The reality is clear. China, increasingly America’s most dynamic competitor, is building new seaports, expanding its rail system and is in the process of developing an interstate standard highway system more extensive than our own Eisenhower system. Eskew notes that the nation’s freight transportation system --- its highway, navigable waterway freight rail and air system --- has received poor or even failing grades in an American Society of Civil Engineers 2005 review.

There is no doubt that globalization is going to make the world a richer place. That does not mean, however, that nations, like the United States, that are on top now will continue to occupy such positions. Continued investment is required. Traffic in urban areas is frequently congested. This means that it takes longer to move freight, which means it is more costly. It also impedes productivity. Studies in Portland and Vancouver, where public officials have systematically discouraged highway expansion, demonstrate the importance of expanding urban highways and keeping the traffic moving.

A University of Paris study showed that as urban travel improves --- as people are able to access more jobs in a fixed period of time (such as 30 minutes) --- there is an increase in economic output.

Texas Transportation Institute data shows that the share of urban travel in congested conditions has risen from 20 percent to over 50 percent in just 20 years. This has occurred principally because urban highways have not been expanded sufficiently to meet the demand. As a result, the nation loses more than $60 billion in congestion costs every year. However, that will only get worse. Many urban areas intend to spend few of their resources on the highway capacity improvements that are the only hope for addressing traffic congestion.

There is an important exception, however, The state of Texas, at the direction of Governor Rick Perry, is undertaking the nation’s first serious program to reduce traffic congestion. The program, arising out of the Governor’s Business Council plan of 2003, is to reduce traffic congestion by up to one-half in the state’s metropolitan areas. Metropolitan planning organizations have developed traffic congestion reduction objectives and the necessary strategies. With Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston being among the fastest growing large metropolitan areas in the high-income world, this will not be easy. Amazingly, however, the modeling is showing that the goals are achievable and that they will not break the bank. Atlanta, the high-income world’s fastest growing metropolitan area has now followed suit, under the direction of Governor Sonny Perdue.

The Texas and Georgia programs represent a first --- transportation agencies actually implementing traffic congestion reduction objectives. It is astonishing that such objectives were not already the rule throughout the country. If the nation is to respond to the need for a sustainable, competitive transport infrastructure, no less than the Texas and Atlanta programs will be require in every metropolitan area in the nation. Such a beginning needs to be expanded to include all segments of the freight transportation system, from air cargo to navigable waterways and freight railroads.

Experience Machines and the Details of Life

David Friedman and Scott Scheule both have valuable thoughts on Nozick's experience machine. Nozick's hypothetical device was this: suppose we could build a machine of some kind that could fully simulate reality, and by getting into the machine you were promised your simulated reality would be better than your real reality ... would you do it? Friedman's answer sseems to be that there is something valuable about the reality itself that cannot be simulated.

We know this by experience. Real achievements at work or school give far more satisfaction than beating a video game don't they? They're far more meaningful right? Well, anyone who's ever played Madden might have to think about it for a while, but most would agree. But I think Nozick would argue that the whole point is that you would not experience the simulated environment any differently than the real one, so that in terms of experience, there is no criterion on which to make the decision.

Scotte Schuele takes another angle by arguing that the pain and suffering of real life are themselves valuable. To use a machine to take away the sting of failure also takes some of the beauty of life with it. Pain, in his estimate is simply part of the magical mystery of existence, and who would ever deprive themselves of living fully that mystery.

Indeed, I would definitely come down in Scott's camp, not that Friedman wouldn't, but with a minor revision. Saying pain is valuable gives pain a little too much credit. Though pain can be valuable it isn't necessarily valuable (again, I'm sure Scott would accept this distinction.) Philosopher Jonathan Lear argues that "life is too much" for the mind to handle, and following Freud, that there is some upper limit to our ability to assimilate new information. There is a breaking point, in other words. Thus, it's not irrational depending on the circumstances to do whatever it takes to avoid that point, even if that means jumping into an experience machine.

Life is too much, an expression I think Hayek would like, is an important way of saying that the we can't fully understand what it would mean to make our lives "better." David Friedman says about our experience machine dilemma, "The answer, it seems to me, depends on what things you value." But this assumes doesn't it that your values are solid and fixed. But a more developmental view of life says we're always discovering new meanings and refining old values. Or values are always growing and in fact will never stop doing so ... not until our last breath.

So the answer to Nozick's experience machine is 'no' but not because we know our values will not allow it, but precisely because getting into the experience machine makes my dynamic life static. Choosing the machine is in effect to say "I know all there is to know about the question of 'value' and can therefore rationally choose one path or the other." But by doing so you forever give up the very thing that gives life meaning.

All this being said, I think it is also important to recognize that on the margins there are those pitiful souls whose lives are so tortured that they might choose the simulation justifiably. And it's the shortcoming of all of these thought experiments that they never quite encompass the totality of options. The devil's in the details ... and life is always too much.

July 17, 2006

Washington's Metro at the Trough

Dr. Ronald D. Utt of the Heritage Foundation writes today that a measure that would grant $1.5 billion to Washington’s Metro transit system may be “the biggest pork barrel earmark in history.” Washington’s transit system, with its bloated costs, has long fought attempts to implement cost effective reform, instead convincing policy makers that the answer to every question in transit is more money See: Transit: One-Half Trillion Dollars for Nothing. The proposed funding would be released to the transit agency if jurisdictions in the area enacted dedicated taxes of a similar amount. I have previously written that this is both unnecessary and unhealthy.

In pitching his bill to infect local jurisdictions with the federal government’s tax and spending virus, Representative Tom Davis (Republican-Virginia) claims that the transit system is important for moving people in emergencies. Utt’s dismissal of this shows how Congressional “spin” can mislead by telling the opposite of truth:

    But Metro provides no such service. Unreliable and poorly run, the system is subject to frequent shutdowns and service interruptions due to equipment failure, bad weather, suicides, driver error, and passenger medical emergencies. In mid-June, heavy rain and winds caused a shutdown of two of its five routes, significant delays on the other three, and the complete shutdown of the two commuter rail lines serving suburban Virginia. While some roads in the area were damaged as well, none suffered the kind debilitating closures and interruptions that Metro did. And as for the need to get the federal workforce to the office, a Metro spokeswoman noted that “Because nearly half of Metro’s daily commuters are federal government employees…delays could be less severe if large numbers of them take advantage of the unscheduled leave option and stay home.” In other words, Metro’s service can be improved if federal workers don’t go to work—so much for being an essential service.

July 16, 2006

Smart Growth is No Growth 3: Planner’s Plague

I highly recommend Randal O’Toole’s Plague of the Planners which appeared the Canada’s largest national newspaper, The Globe and Mail on June 26, 2005.

O’Toole points out that today’s command and control urban planners have little more hope of achieving their objectives than the Soviet planners who consigned Russia and its neighbors to third-world status. The problem, of course, is so-called “smart growth,” which destroys housing affordability and increases traffic congestion. The kinds of excessive land use regulations typical of smart growth have been shown by a US Federal Reserve Bank study to reduce economic growth in the urban areas that implement them.

July 15, 2006

School Buses: The Largest Mode of Transit

Most people, if asked, would probably respond that buses or subways are the most frequently used method of mass transit in the United States. They would be wrong. One of the best kept secrets in transportation statistics is the extent of school bus ridership. Part of the reason is that statistics are not as readily available for school buses as they are for other modes of transport. Every school day, school buses carry 65 percent more travel than the nation’s transit buses, subways (metros), light rail, trolleybuses (electric buses), commuter rail and dial-a-ride services combined.

Of course, many school buses are operating in rural areas. Yet, even in urban areas, school buses carry a huge volume of travel. On school days, school buses operating in the nation’s urban areas carry 85 percent as much travel as all transit bus and rail services combined.

Sometimes it is suggested that school buses services should be merged into transit agencies, to save money. However, that would hardly do, since transit expenditures per passenger mile are approaching three times that of school buses. Transfering transit services to school districts would make more sense.

July 14, 2006

Mumbai and the Senators from New York & New Jersey

One of the great pleasures in my professional life was to serve on the Amtrak Reform Council with Joe Vranich, who certainly is among the most sincere and clear-thinking people to be found in public policy. Today, he authors an article in the New York Sun drawing a parallel between the tragic Mumbai train bombings and the dreadful state of the commuter rail tunnels under Manhattan, through which perhaps 500,000 commuters travel each day. Those commuters are daily subjected to a system that provides insufficient avenues for evacuation and faulty ventilation.

Those tunnels are in a dreadful state of repair, a situation Mr. Vranich has highlighted for years. In today’s article, he outlines the failure of Senators Charles Schumer and Hillary Clinton of New York and Senators Robert Menendez and Frank Lautenburg of New Jersey to provide the leadership necessary to make the necessary repairs. In just the last eight years, Vranich notes that terrorist attacks on rail services world-wide are rising toward 200, and approaching 1,000 deaths. Taking advantage of rail vulnerabilities is a favorite of terrorists. It is time rail safety became a favorite of the Senators.

Legal Fraud?

Below is a graphic recently released by the Chicago Public Schools that allegedly demonstrates historic gains in student performance. Only, there are all sorts of questions about the tests. Students were given 30 minuted longer to complete tthe math portion and 20 minutes longer to complete the science portion. Moreover, students were given pre-tests for the first time.

And according to the Tribune the state "lowered the passing score for 8th grade math from the 67th to the 38th percentile."

Remind me to consult CPS next time I need a boost in my job performance numbers.



July 13, 2006

Illinois Getting a Virtual School

The Tribune reports on the opening of Illinois' first virtual school which has a limited enrollment of 600 (why? do we have to ask?). The criticism of virtual schools is much the same as the criticism levelled at home schooling: that kids need socialization. Of course, there is some truth to this complaint (I hear the objectivists out there cringing.) Kids do need to learn how to deal with other kids. They need to get in fights, deal with bullies, and pull each other's hair from time to time. This is a very important part of life.

But why do we assume school is the place to be "socialized," as opposed to church, the YMCA, the block party, the baseball team, and on and on? In fact many teachers acknowledge the importance of these institutions for socializing youths when we try to take away their summer break. "No!" They say, "that time is vitally important to a child's social development." They then proceed to listing all the beneficial social activities we fill our summers with: volunteering, camp, organized sports, playing with neighborhood kids ... etc.

So the lesson is, when it's good for teachers, school is a socializing institution. When it's bad for teachers, their merely educators.

July 12, 2006

The Economics of Penalty Kicks

Lindsey Beyerstein refutes the notion that penalty shootouts in World Cup Soccer are driven by money. After all ties are allowed in early rounds but not in the finals. But the question I want to know is still, why not play until someone wins. Lindsey notes that the overrunning match could preempt higher rated shows. But Baseball does this all the time. If you know about it in advance you can still sell advertising. I gaurantee no soccer game will go 5 hours ... some one will get tired and make a mistake. Endurance counts for something right?

The only possible argument for not letting the match run indefinitely is the possibilty that players' health would be put at risk.

July 11, 2006

Panel: Booker T. Washington, The Man and The Legacy

Moderator: Glenn Loury, Ph.D., professor of social sciences, Brown University.

Panelists:
Robert J. Norrell, Ph.D., professor of history, University of Tennessee.
Marcus D. Pohlmann, Ph.D., professor and chair of the Political Science Department, Rhodes College.
Christopher Reed, Ph.D., professor of history, Roosevelt University
.

Pork Online

This is an outstanding idea! And it's good to see Investor's Business Daily endorsing it. Tom Coburn is pushing a bill that would create an online database of all companies and non-profits receiving federal money. Let's hope the database also lists municipalities and other local governing entities that often receive money for the maintenance of this or that. Moreover, I'd like to see the database reference which congressmen or women are responsible for the grant and a contact at the recipient organization who will answer oversight questions.

If Coburn's database were done right it could make a serious dent in "pork" spending. The idea is that transparency will provide disincentives for Congress passing bloated appropriations bills. Just as the Food and Drug Act forced the labeling of products contain morphine and thereby eliminated the widespread use of the drug, so Congress would hopefully get off the swine.

The only problem though is that "bringing home the bacon" has its namesake because local constituents view it as a vital part of any congressman's success. Because the average American doesn't generally vote in congressional elections, special interests have an undue influence, and it's the special interests that are hooked on pork spending not necessarily the representatives themselves.

In someways the single-member district itself is a recipe for pork spending.

[Hat tip Andrew Roth]

George Will Gets the Interstates Right

Syndicated columnist George Will presents one of the best popular descriptions of the economic gains that have resulted from the Interstate Highway System, which is now 50 years old.

Canada Seeks to Mimic Failed US Transit Policy

Canadian transit officials are seeking to follow the “pied piper” of US transit policy. A prestigious group of large city mayors has called for a national transit program, claiming that Canada is the only G-8 nation without one. In fact the only high-income nation with a national transit program not scheduled for discontinuance or major reductions is the United States (as I argue in the July 7 Globe and Mail, Canada's largest national newspaper).

Anyone with a passing interest in mass transit affairs around the United States will recognize the ploy used in Canada --- such as citing a claim that a particular urban area does not have the purportedly wise policies of other areas. So, over the years, a number urban areas have claimed to be the only ones with out dedicated taxes in their endless quest for more money. Others urban areas have claimed that their particular states are the only ones without dedicated taxes. Now Canadian mayors seek to be like their American cousins, whose financial profligacy has driven expenditures up more than medical care unit costs over the past 35 years. The return on new transit spending in the United States has been less than $1.00 for each new dollar, inflation adjusted --- good for transit employees and managers, bad for riders and taxpayers. Canada would do well to resist.

July 10, 2006

Vancouver: Containing Opportunity, Not Sprawl

It is probably too much to expect The Economist to make sense in assessing suburbanization, which it and those inclined toward fashionable urban planning dogma call “urban sprawl.” In an article on page 53 of the 8-14 July issue (“Growing Pains”), the magazine characterizes Vancouver as having had “relative success in containing sprawl.”

Of course, like the urban planning priesthood so quick to damn suburbanization from their academic pulpits, The Economist does not bother to justify its assessment with anything remotely resembling quantitative analysis. Like the proverbial US Supreme Court Justice Potter Stewart who could not define obscenity, but knew it when he saw itThe Economist apparently “knows sprawl when it sees it.”

In fact, by various measures, Vancouver has suburbanized as much as many other urban areas. For example, by the ultimate indicator of suburbanization, urban population density, Vancouver trails Los Angeles by 40 percent (1,650 persons per square kilometer, compared to 2,350). True enough, Vancouver is more dense Portland, but then so is Phoenix (1,300 and 1,400 respectively).

The anti-suburban dogma claims that urban areas with less suburbanization have less traffic congestion, which is predictably untrue. In the case of Vancouver, the intensity of road traffic (kilometers driven per square kilometer) is more than Atlanta, which is by many accounts the most suburbanized major urban area in the world (700 per square kilometer).

The Economist bemoans the fact that Vancouver has been slow to build urban railways. Actually, Vancouver is one of the better served urban areas in North America in this regard. The problem is that urban railways feed little beyond downtown. Downtown in Vancouver represents less than 15 percent of employment and most employment growth is in the suburbs.

The anti-suburban movement speaks with platitudes about housing affordability, yet housing affordability tends to be the worst in urban areas that adopt its policies. This is because anti-suburban policies tend to ration land, raise its price and thereby make housing less affordable. Vancouver has been, like Portland, among the world leaders in anti-suburban policy. Like Portland, its housing affordability has paid the price. Vancouver has, by far, the worst housing affordability of any large urban area in Canada and ranked 86th out of 100 international urban areas in housing affordability in the Second Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey.”.

Anti-suburbanites claim that air pollution is less intense in urban areas that adopt their policies. Again, no one ever bothers to consult the data. Yet, an international database indicates that the intensity of air pollution emissions in Vancouver is similar to that of Houston, Phoenix and Atlanta, which are considered to be highly suburbanized (and have lower densities).

None of this is to discount Vancouver’s attractiveness. However, much of what makes Vancouver attractive is not due to urban policy. Its downtown area has been invigorated by unprecedented immigration by highly affluent residents of Hong Kong in recent decades. It has an incomparable physical setting. Yet, its suburbs extend far into the countryside, just like in any American or Western European urban area.

Perhaps it is that The Economist is blinded, like the priesthood, by Vancouver’s “chic” core. Cutesy cores do not negate suburbanization. They occur with and without it. It also helps that Vancouver, unlike Phoenix and other younger urban areas, had a strong pre-automobile core to work with. No one builds them anymore, though they can expand and be converted into residential areas (as is occurring throughout North America, with or without anti-suburban policy). Nonetheless, most growth continues in suburban areas, whether in Vancouver or Phoenix.

The fact is that, by the criteria that can be deduced from the anti-suburban literature, virtually all urban areas sprawl. Some are more suburban than others. But those that are more compact and less suburban are not necessarily better places to live. Just ask the young people no longer able to afford to live in Vancouver, Portland or Sydney, who are being driven away by housing prices that force them to choose a less favored urban area as the price of achieving and maintaining middle income status.

Thus, The Economist would have been more accurate to have noted Vancouver’s “relative success” in preserving and improving downtown. However, at the broader, urban area level (which is the only level at which suburbanization or "sprawl" can be measured), Vancouver’s “relative success” has been in containing opportunity.

Dukakis Selling Rail Myths, Again

Former presidential candidate and Massachusetts Governor Michael S. Dukakis provides a textbook example of how large infrastructure projects are sold using myths rather than reality. In a recent Los Angeles Times opted entitled L.A – S.F. Train is a Quick Traffic Fix, Dukakis and co-author Arthur H. Purcell tout the purported potential of the proposed California High Speed Rail System to reduce traffic congestion, both on highways and in the air. They should have read the planning documents, which say no such thing. In fact, even with high-speed rail, traffic congestion between California’s largest urban areas will rise by more than one-quarter by 2020. Further, the gold-plated highway alternative considered in the planning reports would result in less traffic congestion and more cost effectively (who knows how much better it would have been if excessively high roadway building costs had not been used?).

Then there is the reality of air congestion. Less than 10 percent of air travel between the Los Angeles area and the San Francisco Bay Area is between LAX and SFO, as airlines have taken steps to relieve congestion by moving to other airports for most of these short flights. The high-speed rail planners predict one-half of air passengers will switch to rail. This is both implausible and consistent with the overly rosy projections of other large infrastructure projects.

This is not the first time Dukakis has gotten it wrong on rail. In 2001, as Vice-President of Amtrak, he testified to Congress that the railroad would achieve the self-sufficiency that had been required by law. Of course it didn’t and there was not hope that it would even when Mr. Dukakis testified. Neither will high-speed rail do anything to reduce traffic congestion, air or rail, in California. Moreover, its failure will be achieved at great expense. See: http://www.ocregister.com/ocregister/opinion/atoz/article_1179373.php>Taking California Taxpayers for a Ride

Video: William Allen Speaks to the New Coalition

William Allen spoke on Tueday June 6, 2006 on the merits of a national apology for slavery.

Gifford on Net Neutrality

From IT&T News:

Prompted by questions around the blogosphere about how network neutrality will affect the “computing-as-a-utility” model, I offer this slightly jaded appraisal of how net neutrality regulation would end up playing out in a world where both public and private networks co-exist.

First, a purely taxonomical distinction between public and private networks will be made. Part of a broadband pipe will be treated as “public” and regulated as such, while another part (for instance, the part carrying video programming) will be treated as private and not subject to the panoply of “public Internet” net neutrality mandates. While there will be no principled line that can be drawn to make this distinction, it will be necessary to avoid the more draconian effects of net neutrality.

Gradually but inexorably, everyone with specialized needs for quality of service (QoS), low latency, or the like, will be purchasing a “private” network--capacity that is not subject to the public Internet net neutrality rules. Microsoft and Sony, for instance, might buy or subsidize “private” broadband capacity so gamers on their network will get the low-latency service they need for interactive gaming.

Net neutralists will scream at this legerdemain, but they will be powerless to stop it because, at some point, even the courts and regulators will have to recognize the validity of private contracts for private service. Besides, regulators eventually will come to understand the negative investment effects of enforced network neutrality, and the needs for low latency and high QoS, and this will drive them to allow such arrangements.